Morocco is expected to reduce grain imports by up to 40% this year after a sharp recovery in cereal production, following improved rainfall that ended several years of drought and boosted domestic output, a sectoral source told Hespress.
Agriculture Minister Ahmed El Bouari announced today harvest could reach around 90 million quintals this season, a level that would significantly reduce reliance on international markets and allow authorities to prioritize local supply.
The rebound marks a shift from recent years, when Morocco relied heavily on imports to cover shortages caused by prolonged dry conditions. In 2025, cereal production fell below average, forcing the country to increase imports to secure supply.
This year’s improved outlook follows above-average rainfall and better soil conditions, which have supported crop development and expanded planted areas. Central bank projections indicate cereal output could rise sharply, contributing to broader economic growth driven by the agricultural sector.
Morocco is one of the region’s largest grain importers, with annual needs often exceeding 50 million quintals. In previous seasons, imports were supported by state subsidies to stabilize bread prices and ensure adequate supply.
With output recovering, authorities are now focusing on collecting and storing domestic production. Industry estimates suggest that early collection of a portion of the harvest could help build a strategic reserve and reduce import volumes during the marketing year.
The government has historically adjusted import policies in response to harvest conditions, including suspending customs duties or subsidies depending on supply levels. In stronger seasons, priority shifts toward protecting domestic producers and stabilizing local markets.
Agriculture remains a key sector in Morocco, accounting for a significant share of employment and economic activity, but it is highly dependent on rainfall, leading to wide fluctuations in output from year to year.
Recent rains have allowed Morocco to declare an end to a seven-year drought, easing pressure on water resources and improving conditions for farming.
The current harvest is expected to support a broader recovery in the sector, with agricultural growth projected to rebound strongly in 2026.
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