In the coming 15 years, Morocco is expected to fall slightly in the World Economic League Table, moving from 59th position in 2025 to 60th place in 2040, according to a report by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR).
Even with the slight drop in ranking, Morocco’s economy is expected to grow strongly over the next 15 years.
In 2025, Morocco’s GDP per person (PPP-adjusted) reached $11,437, putting the country in the lower-middle-income group. The economy grew faster than the year before, rising 4.4% in 2025 compared with 3.8% in 2024, and above the 3.2% average growth between 2015 and 2019.
Consumer prices increased by 1.2% in 2025, just above the pre-pandemic average of 1.1%, while the economy continued to grow strongly.
Government debt fell slightly to 67.2% of GDP from 67.7% in 2024. Unemployment dropped by 0.2 points, but high youth unemployment remains a major challenge.
CEBR expects Morocco to grow at an average of 4.0% per year from 2026 to 2030, then slow slightly to 3.8% per year afterward. The country’s total GDP could rise from $178 billion in 2025 to $389 billion by 2040, a 76% increase, while GDP per person may reach around $9,095, supported by a growing middle class.
According to the report, Global growth slowed for a fourth consecutive year in 2025, falling to an estimated 2.6%, the lowest level outside the pandemic and major financial crisis years since 2002.
The United States, which contributed to much of the volatility, recorded its slowest growth rate since 2016.
CEBR predicts growth will slow again in 2026. The effects of recent trade policy changes haven’t fully hit yet, and the economy still faces risks from government spending, international relations, and rising prices.
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