Morocco maintains strong fiscal discipline, boosts industrial momentum

Morocco maintains strong fiscal discipline, boosts industrial momentum
MAP
Saturday 9 August 2025 - 14:00

Morocco maintained strict fiscal discipline in 2024, keeping its budget deficit at 3.8% of gross domestic product (GDP), significantly lower than the deficits exceeding 7% recorded in several emerging economies.

Public debt stood at 67.7% of GDP, remaining below the 70% threshold considered critical for developing nations and well under levels seen in countries like Brazil and South Africa, where debt surpassed 85%.

Despite the cautious approach, Morocco continued to invest heavily in key strategic sectors such as education, health care, energy transition and infrastructure.

The government also pursued gradual tax reforms targeting value-added tax, corporate tax and income tax, alongside efforts to expand the tax base and improve spending governance.

Inflation has remained largely under control. According to official data, inflation averaged between 1.5% and 2% in recent years, falling to just 0.9% in 2024, a sharp contrast to inflation rates exceeding 30% in Egypt and 50% in Turkey. Policymakers credited the figures to a credible monetary policy framework.

Stable Currency, Resilient Trade

Morocco’s external position remained stable, with the dirham steady and exports in sectors like automobiles, phosphates and food processing showing robust growth. Remittances from Moroccans living abroad reached more than 117 billion dirhams ($11.7 billion) in 2024, while foreign direct investment topped 43 billion dirhams ($4.3 billion).

The country’s foreign currency reserves reached 403 billion dirhams ($40.3 billion) in early July 2025, enough to cover more than 5.5 months of imports, well above the three-month benchmark for emerging markets.

The current account deficit was contained at 1.2% of GDP, despite rising import costs driven by investment needs.

Public investment also surged, reaching 340 billion dirhams ($34 billion) in 2025. Funds were directed toward infrastructure, energy, health care, digital transformation, and industrial development.

The implementation of a new investment charter and activation of the Mohammed VI Investment Fund helped attract both domestic and foreign capital.

Access to Global Capital Markets

Morocco has maintained a consistent and disciplined presence in international financial markets, with several successful sovereign bond issuances, including a €2 billion ($2.2 billion) eurobond offering in March 2025. These issuances featured long maturities and competitive rates, reflecting investor confidence in Morocco’s macroeconomic fundamentals and fiscal governance.

Authorities are also working on structural reforms to modernize the country’s financial and institutional frameworks. This includes updates to the organic finance law to strengthen performance-based budgeting and introduce multi-year fiscal planning.

Efforts to deepen Morocco’s capital markets have included the adoption of sustainable finance instruments such as green bonds, sukuk (Islamic finance-compliant bonds) and other innovative tools aligned with international standards.

A Competitive Industrial Powerhouse

For decades, Morocco has pursued an open economic policy and gradual integration into global markets. With more than 55 free trade agreements, the country has access to potential markets of over 3 billion consumers. The economy’s openness ratio rose from 55.2% in 2007 to 80.2% in 2023, while the number of export destinations increased from 171 to 189.

The expanded export base now reaches new markets in Africa, the Americas and Asia. Morocco has also accelerated industrialization, positioning itself as a key global player in automotive and aerospace value chains.

The country ranked among the world’s top 20 car manufacturers in 2024, with auto export revenues reaching $16 billion. In aerospace, Morocco has emerged as a competitive hub, attracting global suppliers and expanding its presence in international markets.

The manufacturing sector now accounts for 14.5% of GDP and supports over 1 million jobs, roughly 11% of the active labor force. Key drivers include automobiles, aviation and textiles, all contributing to Morocco’s dynamic and diversified growth model.

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