A recent study has shown that Germany’s labor market will increasingly depend on migrants “to a significant extent” on an annual basis, over the long term.
The study, conducted by the German Bertelsmann Foundation, indicates that to m eet labor demands, around 288,000 foreign workers will be needed annually by 2040.
According to the study, current levels of labor migration to Germany are far below what is required.
Susan Schulz, an immigration expert at the foundation, told the German news agency (dpa) that barriers should be reduced and conditions for migrants should be improved.
A second forecast model suggests that Germany will need 368,000 migrant workers per year until 2040. From 2041 to 2060, based on the positive effects of previous migration, the annual need is expected to average around 270,000 migrant workers.
Without additional migrants, the study predicts that the workforce will decline from its current level of 46.4 million to 41.9 million workers—about a 10% decrease—due to demographic changes.
The study notes that the effects of reduced migration would vary regionally. In the most populous state, North Rhine-Westphalia, the decline in the workforce would be moderate, at around 10%. States such as Thuringia, Saxony-Anhalt, and Saarland would be more severely affected, with significant staff shortages also expected in Bavaria, Baden-Württemberg, and Hesse.
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