Morocco’s coal demand is expected to remain largely stable through 2030 despite a clear national shift toward decarbonization, according to a report released Wednesday by the International Energy Agency on global coal demand in 2025.
The report said Morocco, the second largest coal consumer in Africa, is maintaining steady coal use even as it accelerates the deployment of renewable energy. Coal demand in the country is projected to stand at about 10 million metric tons in 2025 and remain at a similar level in 2030, despite a sharp rise in the share of renewables in electricity generation.
The IEA said Morocco aims to phase out coal from power generation by 2040, while renewable sources are expected to account for more than 50 percent of additional electricity supply by 2030 compared with 2025 levels.
Across Africa, coal consumption is forecast to rise slightly in 2025, driven mainly by improved operational performance and new capacity additions in South Africa. Zimbabwe is also expected to post a modest increase from a low base, while Morocco’s consumption remains stable, the report said.
Globally, coal demand reached a new record in 2025, rising by 0.5 percent to 8.85 billion metric tons. The IEA said 2025 is likely to mark a turning point, with global demand expected to stabilize before entering a slow decline toward the end of the decade.
The agency attributed the projected downturn to rapid expansion in solar and wind power, renewed growth in nuclear energy and increased liquefied natural gas supply as a lower carbon alternative.
Despite the transition, coal continues to play a central role in global energy systems, particularly in electricity generation, which accounts for about two thirds of total coal consumption. China and India together consume more coal than the rest of the world combined, though their demand is expected to ease slightly by 2030 as renewable integration accelerates.
The IEA warned that coal remains the largest source of energy related carbon dioxide emissions, underscoring the challenge of aligning current consumption trends with global climate targets.
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