Morocco ranks 64th in Global Catastrophic Risk Index 2025

Morocco has secured the 64th position out of 163 countries in the 2025 edition of the Global Catastrophic Risk Index (GCRI), published by the World Governance Forum.

With a score of 40.7 points, the Kingdom finds itself in the mid-range of global risk exposure. While not among the world’s most vulnerable nations, the ranking underscores the importance of continued vigilance and reform in the face of mounting global instability.

The report paints a rapidly evolving risk landscape shaped by overlapping crises. The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, rising tensions between Israel and Iran, extreme climate events, and the continued erosion of democratic norms have all contributed to a heightened sense of global uncertainty.

The lingering impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic also remain visible, affecting supply chains, health systems, and economic stability across many regions. These factors, taken together, illustrate the complex and interconnected nature of modern risks.

In Morocco’s case, the report reflects a mixed outlook. The country’s relative political stability and moderate governance structures help shield it from the worst outcomes seen in more fragile states.

However, systemic issues such as persistent drought, economic inequality, and institutional weaknesses remain areas of concern. The report stresses that catastrophic risks are often intensified not only by external shocks but by governments’ failure to anticipate, manage, and respond to them effectively.

Good governance is identified as the most critical tool in managing and reducing the impact of these large-scale threats. Countries with strong, transparent institutions, respect for the rule of law, and robust civil society are far better equipped to absorb shocks and maintain long-term stability.

Conversely, those with weak governance structures, poor public trust, and high levels of corruption face exponentially greater risk. The comparison between Haiti and Barbados in the report underscores this point.

While both countries share regional and developmental similarities, their vastly different governance trajectories have led to starkly contrasting outcomes. Haiti, plagued by instability and institutional collapse, is among the most at-risk globally, while Barbados remains relatively secure thanks to effective leadership and institutional resilience.

The report further notes that authoritarian regimes tend to face nearly double the level of catastrophic risk compared to liberal democracies.

With authoritarianism gaining ground in parts of Africa, Asia, and Eastern Europe, the study highlights the urgent need to uphold transparency, protect democratic norms, and build institutions capable of withstanding systemic shocks.

For Morocco, which is often cited as a relatively stable player in the MENA region, this serves as both a caution and an opportunity. Strengthening institutional integrity, investing in climate resilience, and fostering inclusive governance could greatly improve the country’s risk profile in future editions of the index.

Ultimately, the Global Catastrophic Risk Index concludes that while it is impossible to eliminate all risks, their impact can be mitigated through sound governance and coordinated global action.

In an era marked by rising authoritarianism, weakening international cooperation, and escalating climate threats, countries like Morocco must strike a balance between managing internal vulnerabilities and engaging proactively with the broader international community to foster resilience and stability.